The editorial team at PS: Political Science & Politics is pleased to announce the release of the articles that will make up a “Special Issue on Forecasting the 2024 US Elections.” The articles are available with our compliments below.
We hope teachers, journalists, and the general public will read, reflect, share, and comment. For the latest updates from this important title you can follow PS on X (Twitter) and BlueSky.
Introduction
- Introduction to Forecasting the 2024 US Elections, by Philippe Mongrain and Mary Stegmaier
Articles
- Forecasting Partisan Collective Accountability During the 2024 U.S. Presidential & Congressional Elections, by Carlos Algara, Lisette Gomez, Edward Headington, Hengjiang Liu, and Bianca Nigri
- Iowa Electronic Markets: Forecasting the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, by Thomas S. Gruca and Thomas A. Rietz
- Forecasting Popular Vote and Electoral College Vote Results: Partisan-Bounded Economic Model, by Manabu Saeki
- The Political Economy Model: Presidential Forecast for 2024, by Charles Tien and Michael S. Lewis-Beck
- Lessons Learned: Citizen Forecasting, Candidate Resignations, and the 2024 US Presidential Election, by Brian Thompson-Collart, Hubert Cadieux, Catherine Ouellet, and Yannick Dufresne
- A Political History Forecast of the 2024 US Congressional Elections, by Michael Lewis-Beck and Stephen Quinlan
- Understanding Biden’s Exit and the 2024 Election: The State Presidential Approval/State Economy Model, by Peter K. Enns, Jonathan Colner, Anusha Kumar, and Julius Lagodny
- A Dynamic Forecast: An Evolving Prediction of the 2024 Presidential Election, by Spencer Lindsay and Levi Allen
- State-Level Forecasts for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election: Trump Back with a Vengeance?, by Philippe Mongrain, Richard Nadeau, Bruno Jérôme, and Véronique Jérôme
- The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election PoSSUM Poll, by Roberto Cerina and Raymond Duch
- The PollyVote Forecast for the 2024 US Presidential Election, by Andreas Graefe
- LASSOing the Governor’s Mansion: A Machine Learning Approach to Forecasting Gubernatorial Elections, by Gregory J. Love, Ryan E. Carlin, and Matthew M. Singer
- Forecasting US Voter Turnout, by Michael Bednarczuk
- Forecasting the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination: Can the Former Heavyweight Champ Win Another Title Shot?, by Andrew Dowdle, Randall Adkins, Karen Sebold, and Wayne Steger
PS: Political Science & Politics provides critical analyses of contemporary political phenomena and is the journal of record for the discipline of political science reporting on research, teaching, and professional development. PS, begun in 1968, is the only quarterly professional news and commentary journal in the field and is the prime source of information on political scientists’ achievements and professional concerns. More special collections of the PS: Political Science & Politics journal can be found here.
