Journals

Forecasting the 2026 US Midterm Elections Forecasting Gubernatorial Elections in an Era of Polarized and Nationalized Politics By Gregory J. Love, University of Mississippi, Ryan E. Carlin, Georgia State University, and Matthew M. Singer, University […]

Forecasting the 2026 US Midterm Elections Forecasting the US Midterm Congressional Elections Without Poll Data By Paul F. Whiteley, University of Essex This article develops a long-term forecasting model for the US midterm elections which […]

Forecasting the 2026 US Midterm Elections Forecasting a Democratic Resurgence? Partisan Accountability in the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections By Carlos Algara, Claremont Graduate University, Isaac Hale, Occidental College, Byengseon Bae, Independent Scholar, and Edward Headington, […]

Forecasting the 2026 US Midterm Elections Forecasting a President-Centered Midterm: Leader-Centered Personalization in the 2026 US House Elections By Mohammad Hamza Iftikhar, Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS), Pakistan Forecasting models of US midterm elections […]

Forecasting the 2026 US Midterm Elections Forecasting 2026 Congressional Control: A Comparison of IEM and Kalshi Prediction Markets By Thomas Gruca and Thomas A. Rietz, University of Iowa We report Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM) and […]

Forecasting the 2026 US Midterm Elections Explaining and Predicting the Two-Party Mid-Term House Vote Share: 2026 Prediction By Ray C. Fair, Yale University I first estimated an equation explaining the two-party vote share for president […]

Forecasting the 2026 US Midterm Elections Demslide or republican resilience? A political history forecast of the 2026 us congressional elections By Stephen Quinlan, Independent Researcher, and Michael Lewis Beck, University of Iowa The history book […]