2020 Elections

Citizen Forecasting 2020: A State-by-State Experiment 

Citizen Forecasting 2020: A State-by-State Experiment  by Andreas E. Murr and Michael S. Lewis-Beck  We use ‘citizen forecasts’ to predict the US Presidential Election taking place on 3 November 2020.  This approach asks citizens to […]

2020 Elections

Let’s Be Honest About Election Forecasting

Let’s Be Honest About Election Forecasting by Jennifer Nicoll Victor Forecasting used to be fun and games for political science nerds, but now it’s big business that has the potential to influence the very outcomes […]

2020 Elections

State-Level Forecasts for the 2020 US Presidential Election: Tough Victory Ahead for Biden

State-Level Forecasts for the 2020 US Presidential Election: Tough Victory Ahead for Biden by Bruno Jérôme, Véronique Jérôme, Philippe Mongrain, and Richard Nadeau The Electoral College makes the geographical dimension of presidential elections in the United […]

2020 Elections

The 2020 (Re)Election According to the Iowa Electronic Markets: Politics, Pandemic, Recession, and/or Protests?

The 2020 (Re)Election According to the Iowa Electronic Markets: Politics, Pandemic, Recession, and/or Protests? by Thomas S. Gruca and Thomas A. Rietz  Multiple historic events characterize the 2020 Presidential election: the Mueller report, an impeachment […]