The editorial team at PS: Political Science & Politics is pleased to announce the release of the 2020 Presidential Election Forecasting symposium. This year, due to the amazing work done by Ruth Dassonneville and Charles Tien, we have 13 forecasts and three critical reviews.
We hope teachers, journalists, and the general public will read, reflect, and comment. You can find a list of the symposium articles below, links will be added when they appear online. For the latest updates you can follow PS on Twitter here.
CONTENTS
- Introduction – Ruth Dassonneville and Charles Tien
- It’s the Pandemic, Stupid! A Simplified Model for Forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election – Alan I. Abramowitz
- Forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election: Leading Economic Indicators, Polls, and the Vote – Roberts S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien
- The Political Economy Model: A Blue Wave Forecast for 2020 – Michael S. Lewis-Beck and Charles Tien
- Primary Model Predicts Trump Re-election – Helmut Norpoth
- Economic Pessimism and Political Punishment in 2020 – Brad Lockerbie
- Of Issues and Leaders: Forecasting the 2020 US Presidential Election – Andreas Graefe
- A Long-Range State-Level Forecast of the 2020 Presidential Election – Jay A. DeSart
- State-Level Forecasts for the 2020 US Presidential Election: Tough Victory Ahead for Biden – Bruno Jérôme, Véronique Jérôme, Philippe Mongrain, and Richard Nadeau
- Forecasting the 2020 Electoral College Winner: The State Presidential Approval/State Economy Model – Peter K. Enns and Julius Lagodny
- The 2020 (Re)Election According to the Iowa Electronic Markets: Politics, Pandemic, Recession, and/or Protests? – Thomas S. Gruca and Thomas A. Rietz
- Citizen Forecasting 2020: A State-by-State Experiment – Andreas E. Murr and Michael S. Lewis-Beck
- The PollyVote Popular Vote Forecast for the 2020 US Presidential Election – J. Scott Armstrong and Andreas Graefe
- The Campbell Collection of Presidential Election Forecasts: 1984-2016 – Alfred G. Cuzán
- Why Forecast? The Value Forecasting to Political Science – Keith Dowding
- Let’s Be Honest about Election Forecasting – Jennifer Nicoll Victor
Access the full PS 2020 Presidential Election Forecasting symposium here.