Political Science Election Forecasts of the 2016 Presidential and Congressional Elections

Normally around this time in a presidential election cycle — the “interregnum,” as it has come to be known — we would be waiting for the dust from the nomination campaigns to settle before moving on to the conventions and to considerations of the general election race. As you may have noticed, however, this is not a normal year. It has been anything but. No dust, just tons of rubble from two wildly contentious nomination fights left to clear away as we turn to a general election bout likely to be the political equivalent of a mixed martial arts cage fight.

So who will emerge from the cage next November?

Read the rest of the story at Sabato’s Crystal Ball. This is part one of an ongoing series. The introduction is by James E. Campbell, a UB Distinguished Professor of Political Science at the University at Buffalo, SUNY. His previous books include The American Campaign and The Presidential Pulse of Congressional Elections. His latest book, Polarized: Making Sense of a Divided America, is forthcoming from Princeton University Press in July.