2016 Elections

A Calamitous Compact

A Calamitous Compact Darin DeWitt, California State University, Long Beach Thomas Schwartz, University of California, Los Angeles The National Popular Vote Interstate Compact (joined so far by ten states and D.C.) would replace the current presidential-election system, […]

2016 Elections

Twitter Taunts and Tirades: Negative Campaigning in the Age of Trump

Twitter Taunts and Tirades: Negative Campaigning in the Age of Trump Justin H. Gross, (@justinhgross), University of Massachusetts, Amherst Kaylee T. Johnson, University of Massachusetts, Amherst What drives candidates to “go negative” and against which opponents? Using a […]

2016 Elections

Definitely Not Moralistic: State Political Culture and Support for Donald Trump in the Race for the 2016 Republican Presidential Nomination

Definitely Not Moralistic: State Political Culture and Support for Donald Trump in the Race for the 2016 Republican Presidential Nomination by Patrick I. Fisher, Seton Hall University This study analyzes the important role state political culture […]

2016 Elections

Harry Potter and the Deathly Donald

Harry Potter and the Deathly Donald by Diana C. Mutz, University of Pennsylvania In this study, I examine the relevance of Harry Potter consumption–whether reading Harry Potter books or viewing Harry Potter movies–to attitudes toward Donald […]

2016 Elections

Social Desirability, Hidden Biases, and Support for Hillary Clinton

Social Desirability, Hidden Biases, and Support for Hillary Clinton  Ryan L. Claassen, Kent State University John Barry Ryan, (@ryanbq), Stony Brook University An emerging consensus suggests that women are underrepresented in government because of biases in the […]

2016 Elections

When Playing the Woman Card is Playing Trump by Leslie Caughell

When Playing the Woman Card is Playing Trump: Assessing the Efficacy of Framing Campaigns as Historic Leslie Caughell, (@lcaughell), Virginia Wesleyan College  Political pundits assume that being the “first” confers some advantage to candidates. Such […]

2016 Elections

Watching Elections 2016 with a Gender Lens

 Watching Elections 2016 with a Gender Lens by Kelly Dittmar, (@kdittmar), Rutgers University The presence of women candidates in both major parties’ presidential primaries, including a likely woman Democratic nominee, has increased the attention paid […]

2016 Elections

The PollyVote Forecast for the 2016 American Presidential Election

The PollyVote Forecast for the 2016 American Presidential Election Andreas Graefe, Randall J. Jones, J. Scott Armstrong, Alfred G. Cuzán The PollyVote is an evidence-based formula designed to forecast election outcomes, using both well-established methods and innovations. Forecasting […]